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18 September 2011 @ 12:08 pm
Emmy predictions (hah!)  
My thoughts on the (main) Emmy nominations (well, main to me) with my picks of who I think will win, should win, sentimental favorite (ie, I don't think they should win, but I love them so) and should have been nominated (damnit!).

Outstanding Drama Series

Boardwalk Empire
Friday Night Lights
Game of Thrones
The Good Wife
Mad Men

I tried Mad Men three times, I got as far as episode 9 the third try and then I just gave up. Sorry, television critics everywhere, it bores me silly. :shrugs: However, it apparently had a banner season, so I won't bet against it. I do think that Game of Thrones has a chance, and I really hope it wins, but I'm not holding my breath. It was magnificently done. So very, very good. If The Good Wife wins, I'd be cool with that too as I think it's one of the better Big 3 network shows. Dexter was consistently good, but not its best season, still I wouldn't be upset by a win. For Friday Night Lights either, even though it's not my #1 pick, it went out on a wonderful grace note and was criminally ignored its first season -- for which I do think it deserved to win.

SHOULDA BEEN NOMINATED: The Vampire Diaries. Hah! like I'd pick anything else. I just think that the writing, characterization, familial relationships, friendships, etc. are interwoven so beautifully amidst the teenage angst, the love stories, the town and its history, the supernatural crazy. The acting, writing, directing, pacing, all of it, I love it so much. But of course, it's a teenage-vampire show on the CW, so of course it's not worthy of a nomination. More realistic pick: Justified, damn, this show is amazing!

Outstanding Comedy Series

The Big Bang Theory
Modern Family
The Office
Parks and Recreation
30 Rock

Like with Mad Men, I've tried Modern Family a few times and it just doesn't appeal to me. If I'm on episode 8, and I've only chuckled a few times? This is not a comedy for me. However, everyone else and their dog adores it, so yeah, expecting another win here. The Glee nomination is a joke (seriously, there was no pun intended, only a re-read of this revealed it, hah). It's not a comedy; it's not a drama. It's a dramedy. Just create that category, there are definitely enough of those now. With that said, it doesn't deserve the nom in any category because it pretty much sucked this season. Yeah. I enjoyed The Office and 30 Rock, but they've had better years. I could see TO maybe getting the nod because of Carrell's last year, but if they are going for that, it will be giving him the award. I still love The Big Bang Theory, and find it absolutely hilarious, but the insistence on pushing the horrible Penny/Leonard pairing just knocks it out of contention for me. Raising Hope is non-stop, goofy, hilarious humor, shoulda been nommed. But even if it had, I'd still give the win to Parks & Recreation. Perfection. Funny, sweet and awesome.

Outstanding Actress in a Drama

Kathy Bates, Harry's Law
Connie Britton, Friday Night Lights
Mireille Enos, The Killing
Mariska Hargitay, Law and Order: SVU
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men

I won't be bummed if Margulies wins because she did some outstanding work, but Connie Britton has never been anything less than heartrendingly, jaw-droppingly brilliant and so amazingly REAL as Tami Taylor for five years. If anyone deserves recognition, she damn well does! Of the remainder, I'm aware of all of them, but I only watch Harry's Law, and so my sentimental favorite goes to Bates. As for who should have been nominated? Nina Fucking Dobrev. I'm just going to quote my review from a TVD episode (in which I referenced the idiocy of the Emmys no doubt not acknowledging her):

Seriously, it sucks royally that this girl is NOT getting more notice for the amazing job she's doing. If the Emmys actually meant something, Nina Dobrev's name should damn well be etched on one come September. I only realized while writing this really just how amazing she was because I didn't think of the fact while watching the episode that I was watching one actress play Elena, present-day Katherine in the tomb, 1490 human, birthin' Katherine, and 1492 human, scared and on the run, but still selfishly thinking on her feet Katherine, because all portrayals were so seamless, it didn't *feel* like the same actress at all. Nina is just kicking so much ass here, there are no words.

She's taken the token, good girl heroine and given her depth; plus, she's created a completely different character to the point that it truly feels like it's two different actresses playing the role. Nina Dobrev is amazing!

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama

Kelly Macdonald, Boardwalk Empire
Archie Panjabi, The Good Wife
Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
Margo Martindale, Justified
Michelle Forbes, The Killing
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men

This is the strongest category overall, in my opinion. I honestly think that Archie Panjabi and Michelle Forbes deserve a win as well, I just think that overall, thematically and from beginning to end, Margo Martindale knocked it so out of the park. To be fair, I got bored with The Killing pretty quickly and Forbes easily could have taken that slot for those reasons had I finished the season. (I've been a fan of the actress since her days in the early 90's on Guiding Light, and she's never been anything less than outstanding in any role.) I can say easily that if any of those three actresses win, or even Christine Baranski -- whom I adore (and, aw hell, I love Christina Hendricks, but I don't watch Mad Men), I'll be happy. I didn't get past the first episode of Boardwalk Empire, so Macdonald may deserve it too. Based on what I did see of her, she was excellent.

SHOULDA BEEN NOMINATED: Candice Accola has shown such nuance. She has been believable and wonderful in both comedy, drama, normal teenage-angst, crazy supernatural drama, imbuing all of Caroline's relationships with realism, heartbreak and joy, be it boyfriends (both past, present and potential future), friendships (both secure and shaky), and family -- her scenes with Caroline's mother were heartbreaking and beautifully played.

Outstanding Actor in a Drama

Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights
Michael C. Hall, Dexter
John Hamm, Mad Men
Hugh Laurie, House
Timothy Olyphant, Justified

I've heard nothing but Hamm praise, and this may be his year based on buzz. Don't watch the show, so I don't care. Like with Connie Britton, Kyle Chandler has been criminally ignored of any Emmy acknowledgement before now, and he damn well deserved it before, and damn straight deserves the win tonight. He's just so freaking amazing. And if he weren't nominated, I'd be picking Timothy Olyphant here because he's also amazing, and I love him soooooooooo much. His performance in Justified has been revelatory for me. He was just kinda there in Deadwood for me, here, it's just like WOW! I gave up on House years ago, but if he wins, I'm sure Hugh Laurie deserves it. Michael C. Hall pretty much never doesn't deserve it, and Steve Buscemi is a wonderful actor -- I just couldn't get into Boardwalk Empire. So, this is a very strong field. I still would have loved to see Ian Somerhalder get a nomination. I know, HAH! He was consistently fabulous, and he had a couple of episodes where his acting was showcased so beautifully, and he delivered one of the single best scenes of acting I've ever seen. He deserved a nomination, but yeah, teenage-vampire drama on the CW, yeah right.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama

Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Josh Charles, The Good Wife
Alan Cumming, The Good Wife
Walton Goggins, Justified
John Slattery, Mad Men
Andrew Braugher, Men of a Certain Age

How the hell do they keep not nominating John Noble?!?! He should have a couple of these by now! God! He's just so, so good, so heartbreaking, so wonderful. As for who is nominated: I know I said that Cumming will win over Dinklage, but I could have just as easily switched those two because I do think both have a great shot and both deserve it. I went with Cumming simply because Game of Thrones is a fantasy show, and The Good Wife is Emmy-bait. I'm thrilled that Walton Goggins got a nomination because, like the above two, he deserved it. If he somehow pulls off a win, I wouldn't be upset. Heck, if Josh Charles, John Slattery or Andrew Brraugher won, I won't be upset either. All are worthy, worthy nominations. But, Noble should have been nominated. Damnit!

Outstanding Actress in a Comedy

Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Laura Linney, The Big C
Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly
Martha Plimpton, Raising Hope
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

(WHEE! Look at all the blondes!)

Laura Linney is my pick based on media articles, but I could see Melissa McCarthy getting it (if only due to Bridesmaids love), Edie Falco repeating (because the Academy ADORES her), and Amy Poehler (because, damnit!, it's about time). Tina Fey seems to have fallen off of the critical-love radar, but they've been known to throw a curve ball, and it's not like she's not fantastic. Martha Plimpton took a role that could have been annoying, crass and just a horrible cliche and made Virginia, warm, loving, sometimes wise/sometimes foolish, and all around awesome ... okay, she's still a bit crass.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Kaley Cuoco may likely always be so underestimated and it's just not fair -- I know, I know, the Emmys are not about fairness. She has tremendous comic timing and fantastic delivery, plus she's managed to make Penny a helluva lot more than a pair of boobs and no last name despite the writing of Penny as such most of the time. (Yes, I love the show, but I'm wildly aware of its flaws.)

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Comedy

Jane Lynch, Glee
Betty White, Hot In Cleveland
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
Kristen Wiig, Saturday Night Live
Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock

Honestly, I just said Betty White because, well, she's Betty White, but with Bridesmaids, I easily could see Wiig taking it because of the success of that film. And she deserves it for her work. There's a reason she's the first person whose broken out on SNL in a long time; she's brilliant. I don't watch Modern Family, but the work I've seen the actresses in other stuff has never impressed me. Krakowski is good, but she's always rubbed me the wrong way. I don't dislike her necessarily, I just don't really like her all that much. And Jane Lynch is, well, Jane Lynch. It's not her fault her show sucks mostly and the best thing about season 1 (her character) was written horribly in season 2.

SHOULDA BEEN NOMINATED: That Alison Brie wasn't nominated last year or this year is a travesty. She's utterly brilliant, and you'd think that since the Academy is soooo in love with Mad Men, they'd see her mad range (she's Trudi on that show) and nominate her for that alone.

Outstanding Actor in a Comedy

Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Louis C.K., Louie
Steve Carrell, The Office
Johnny Galecki, The Big Bang Theory
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

If Steve Carrell wins, I won't be even the least bit disappointed because he deserves it for playing Michael Scott so perfectly for the last seven years, but my heart is just owned by the brilliance of Jim Parsons so I pretty much always think he should win. On the other hand, I don't think that Galecki should have even been nominated. Of the cast (including Parsons), I think that he's the least worthy, his Leonard is a caricature way too often, cliched and without enough undercurrents of vulnerability to make him work that well for me as a character. (If they wanted to nominate someone else from the show, I would have loved to see Kaley Cuoco finally get some due, and Simon Helberg or Kunal Nayar get supporting noms.) Alec Baldwin is brilliant. If he wins, it's not that he doesn't deserve it, I just prefer Parsons and Carrell. I haven't watched Episodes, and I didn't like Louie, but the actor was fabulous when he guested on Parks and Recreation in a recurring storyline, so no complaints there.

SHOULDA BEEN NOMINATED: I'm honestly surprised that John Krasinski has yet to get a nomination. He's consistently pretty dang awesome and even when Jim is written somewhat jerkily at times, Krasinski still sells the character and the motivation. Maybe with Carrell gone the Academy will finally notice him.

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy

Chris Colfer, Glee
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family
Ed O'Neill, Modern Family
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Jon Cryer, Two and a Half Men

I don't watch Modern Family (I tried twice, got to episode 8 and still barely laughed), so none of those do it for me, however because of all the brouhaha over O'Neill not even being nominated last year, I'm picking him for that alone, but it could be any of those four from that show, or Colfer who did win the Golden Globe. Colfer is not who I would give this too -- his story was much more dramatic than comedic -- but of the choices, I'd go with him. And yes, I have him under sentimental favorite which should be for who I don't think should win, but I still adore. However, no one else nominated is even remotely a favorite of mine, and I do love him, so ...

SHOULDA BEEN NOMINATED: There are other actors who definitely should have been on this list (Simon Helberg, The Big Bang Theory, Garett Dillahunt, Raising Hope, Adam Scott, Parks and Recreation -- NEXT YEAR, BB!, Nick Offerman, also of P&R, Danny Pudi, Community, to name a few), but I'm going with Pudi's castmate, Donald Glover (of Community). His Troy was a slow burn for me, but over the course of season two, this guy continued to be amazing in every scene, so hysterical, awesome line delivery, facial expressions, background stuffies, basically EVERYTHING. Gah, just reading over the list of actors who could have made the list, it makes the current nominations even that much more depressing. Hell, I didn't even mention Neil Patrick Harris and Jason Segel (of How I Met Your Mother). Come on, Academy! I know you mostly suck, but COME ON! Four actors from the same show, one from an awful, tired show and one from a show that's barely a comedy, and for which his best work wasn't even comedic?
ThroughAnAmberFocusamberfocus on September 18th, 2011 05:24 pm (UTC)
Teen soap and sci-fi actors seldom get nominated. Doesn't matter how good the shows are, or the actors are, if they aren't on something considered higher brow it almost never happens. Nina will probably be 30 and playing a lawyer or a doctor in something before she gets a nomination (and everyone will go, "Where did she come from?" when she wins and we'll be all, "I told you so!"
Azmiri Sultana Mridulmridul777 on September 18th, 2011 05:36 pm (UTC)
"Where did she come from?" when she wins and we'll be all, "I told you so!"

I sure hope that we don't have to wait that long for her to win her much deserved recognition, BUT if it does comes down to this, I will just not rest by saying "I told you so!" I'll shove the whole series in their faces and say.: "THAT'S HER...An actress who WOW'D AND AWED several Generations while you guys were too damn busy doing God knows what to notice!"

Teen soap and sci-fi actors seldom get nominated. Doesn't matter how good the shows are, or the actors are, if they aren't on something considered higher brow it almost never happens

That's the only reason I constantly wish that this show was on some Uber- Popular channel. So that it obtained it's coveted recognition and appraise.
I don't have any complaints or negative feelings towards CW, if anything, I'm happy that this channel is the home of some of my favorite shows of ALL times.

Azmiri Sultana Mridulmridul777 on September 18th, 2011 05:30 pm (UTC)
My Emmy Picks: I will just note down my ultimate favorites.

Outstanding Drama Series: The Vampire Diaries *sigh*. Will it never be nominated? Ever? *sigh*

Outstanding Comedy Series:I kinda Love "Modern Family" *smiles sheepishly* Mitchell, Gloria and especially Manny cracks me up a lot.... :/

Outstanding Actress in a Drama:Nina Constantinova Dobreva. If anyone deserves An Emmy for this category, it's HER. Playing 4 "different" characters so damn flawlessly, making each one seem so effortless when we all know how much it might screw with the poor girl's head and sanity, and playing each of the roles gracefully, beautifully, doing justice and taking into notes of each and every single little details such as "hair tucked in right side or left". That's precision and sharp acting, THAT DESERVES AN EMMY MORE THAN ANYTHING OR ANYONE!

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama: Candice Freaking Accola. Well like KW says, she's the one person who can make us cry and laugh in the same scene. She does FULL justice to adorable, strong, feisty, loyal, sentimental, girly, powerful and beautiful Caroline.

Outstanding Actor in a Drama: Our "GUY" (Ian Somerhalder) deserves this. He has worked, BARED ALL including emotions and all his hard work for this role. He has ALL us fans spell bound with his acting, delivery, comic-timing, expressions and EYES!!

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a comedy: Although I LOVE Annie, but in case of of the win, I would vote for SUE SYLVESTER- Jane Lynch. I mean the woman is EPIC!! She has some of the best one-liners of ALL times!!

Outstanding Supporting Actor In a Comedy: I agree with your choices completely. Donald Grover deserves a nomination, while MY Favorite Pick will always be Kurt. I love Him. I just love everything he does, I know it doesn't make any sense and childish and I should accredit him according to his work and everything, but I LOVE Chris Colfer!!
BTW Although I love watching Modern Family, I don't think Ed O'Neill deserves to win against Chris Colfer.
Keeping my biased LOVE for Chris aside, I think Ed still doesn't so SUCH a great job for which he should win against Chris Colfer.
But then again that's my opinion only.

irlandesakirlandesak on September 18th, 2011 07:05 pm (UTC)
I'm going with a Boardwalk Empire upset in the Drama category. They already won technical awards where GoT was thought to be the front runner. Plus, Scorcese and Buscemi offer the right pedigree. The Emmys and their inferiority complex love themselves Oscar Winners. It's probably the reason Laura Linney is the front runner and probably the reason Kathy Bates was even nominated. (I'm not saying KB isn't good but she stars in a low rated, somewhat critically panned network show. That's the kind performance that tends to get overlooked even if it is brilliant.)

Or maybe I'm just hopeful someone, anyone pulls the upset on Mad Men. I don't think I could stand to see Weiner's smug "we so deserve this" acceptance speech like last year even though his wasn't even the best show on his network last year. I do watch Mad Men, although I'm getting close to giving it up, and I don't think it had a banner year. It had a banner episode with The Suitcase but I felt the rest of the season was kind of weak.

I agree about Ed O'Neil. I want Chris to win as he was excellent and definitely the MVP of Glee for me. But Ed is the most talented nominee overall with such an amazing career.

Alec didn't even submit his best Emmy ep from last season and has been actively campaigning for Steve on Twitter. Jim already won. Louis C.K. was the biggest surprise for me. I love Louie. It's the most pure auteur driven show on TV. I was shocked he was nominated, though. He doesn't even consider himself an actor and it was very low rated. But since last season got on the Emmy radar, I suspect next year could be pretty big for him since S2 has been nearly perfect.

Cynical Bitch: life: crews & reese - coffee toastunicorn23 on September 18th, 2011 07:16 pm (UTC)
I'm in the "anything but The Good Wife and Glee" bandwagon.
Cindycorpsebride05 on September 18th, 2011 09:12 pm (UTC)

I think Johnny Galecki got the spot reserved for Charlie Sheen. He's usually nominated, but blew it this year.

I hope Jim wins again too ♥

zellie: film | death proof : abernathyleucocrystal on September 18th, 2011 09:35 pm (UTC)
Wow, you put way more thought into this than I could imagine doing! (Though, to be fair, you're obviously watching a LOT more of the shows recognized this year than I am, lol.) I'm still pissed AMC pushed back Breaking Bad so it would be knocked out of eligibility just so Mad Men can (theoretically) sweep everything BB would otherwise definitely have picked up. (I know, people who don't like/don't watch that show are probably sick of it constantly winning, but it's perfect in basically every way, so there's good reason for that.) Ah, well. I also totally agree with you re: Mad Men and Parks and Rec. I've fallen asleep no less than three separate times trying to watch the former, I kid you not.

I'm with you on many of your should wins/should've been nominated (I still can't quite believe Nick Offerman wasn't), and begrudgingly on many of your will wins as well, heh. Oh, Emmys. Much like the Oscars, I will end up watching you because I just can't help myself, and end up pissed off somehow by the end of the night by at least 3 things. It's inevitable!
eolivet on September 18th, 2011 10:10 pm (UTC)
What, no Movie/Miniseries? ;) Kidding, kidding... (for the record: Mildred Pierce only won 3 technical to DA's 2. MP is vulnerable in everything BUT Best Actress, IMO.)

Basically, the entire Supporting Actor category should be Parks & Rec stars. ;p I have rarely seen such a strong supporting cast of men: Aniz Anasari (sp?), Nick Offerman (!!), Adam Scott, Chris Pratt, Rob Lowe...ALL fantastic. :)

I REALLY want Steve Carell to win Best Actor. He SO deserves it. Michael was a revelation this year. :D I like MF, but if P&R won Best Comedy, I'd scream with delight! :) Same with Hugh Laurie, who singlehandedly (with an assist from Robert Sean Leonard) makes "House" watchable.

Pulling for Chris Colfer, too...Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy, not Best Comedic Actor. The only MF actor who deserves a win, IMO, is Sofia Verraga. She's fabulous, IMO! :)

(OMG, I want "Game of Thrones" or "Boardwalk Empire" or ANYTHING to upset "Mad Men." I don't want it tying "West Wing" for 4 Best Drama wins in a row. :( Actually, if "The Good Wife" can't win and represent for the network, I want GoT. I know a ton of people who love it, and it keeps Iain Glenn [who has a role on DA this year] employed! :)
she was a work in progress.: i don't think. i feel.dreamer_98 on September 19th, 2011 01:48 am (UTC)
I'm still better that the awesome ensemble cast of Treme, especially Khandi Alexander, was not recognized by the Emmys.